Packers vs Cowboys Prediction: Injury Updates, Expert Odds, and Why Green Bay Could Dominate in Week 4

The Sunday Night Football clash between the Green Bay Packers and the Dallas Cowboys is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing battles of Week 4. With key injuries, major storylines, and high playoff stakes, fans and analysts are closely watching how this matchup will unfold. Here is a detailed Packers vs Cowboys prediction with injury updates, betting odds, and expert forecasts.
Game Context and Why It Matters
The Packers arrive in Dallas looking to bounce back after a frustrating loss to the Cleveland Browns. Jordan Love and his offense will be tested at AT&T Stadium, where the Cowboys have traditionally been strong. Adding drama to the night, Micah Parsons—once the face of the Cowboys’ defense—returns to Dallas in a Packers uniform, a storyline that has added extra tension to the buildup.
For the Cowboys, the biggest challenge has been consistency on offense. With injuries piling up, Dallas is searching for a way to keep pace with a Green Bay team that ranks among the league’s most efficient in both rushing defense and turnover creation.
Key Injuries and Player Availability
Injuries are expected to play a decisive role in how this game develops.
Dallas Cowboys Injury Report
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CeeDee Lamb (WR): Sidelined with a high ankle sprain, Lamb is unlikely to feature. His absence leaves a massive gap in the Cowboys’ passing game.
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Offensive Depth Concerns: With Lamb out, Dallas will rely heavily on secondary options like Brandin Cooks and rookie contributors who have yet to prove themselves on a big stage.
Green Bay Packers Injury Report
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Aaron Banks (OL): Questionable with a lower-body issue.
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Zach Tom (OL): Another key offensive lineman dealing with fitness concerns.
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Micah Parsons (LB): Healthy and ready, Parsons will aim to make a statement against his former team.
Betting Odds and Expert Predictions
Sportsbooks and analysts are leaning toward a Packers victory.
Betting Market | Current Odds/Line | Expert Lean |
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Point Spread | Packers −5.5 to −6.5 | Packers to cover |
Moneyline | Packers favored (approx. −220) | Packers win |
Over/Under (Total Points) | 47.5 to 48.5 | Under |
Expert Predictions
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Projected Score: Packers 24 – 21 Cowboys
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Win Probability: Packers hold a 60% chance of victory
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Trend: Heavy movement toward the under due to Dallas’s offensive injuries
Why the Packers Hold the Edge
There are three main reasons experts favor Green Bay in the Packers vs Cowboys prediction:
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Defensive Superiority: The Packers’ defense has been among the strongest in containing opposing quarterbacks, and with Dallas missing its top receiver, Green Bay has the advantage.
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Micah Parsons Factor: Facing his former team, Parsons is motivated to put up a dominant performance, potentially disrupting Dak Prescott’s rhythm.
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Cowboys’ Offensive Limitations: Without CeeDee Lamb, Dallas loses its most reliable playmaker, making it difficult to keep up with Green Bay’s balanced attack.
Final Packers vs Cowboys Prediction
All signs point to a narrow but controlled Green Bay victory. Expect the Packers to establish defensive dominance, capitalize on Dallas’s thin receiving corps, and rely on Jordan Love to manage the game effectively.
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Predicted Outcome: Packers 24 – Cowboys 21
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Best Bet: Packers −6 and the game finishing under 48 total points
With the injuries mounting for Dallas, the Packers are well-positioned to take command in this primetime showdown and solidify their standing as a top NFC contender.