Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Head-to-Head Preview Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP China Open 2025 Semifinal Clash
Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien: Exciting Semifinal Showdown at the 2025 China Open
In a highly anticipated rematch, Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien will face off in the semifinals of the 2025 China Open on Tuesday. Known for their distinct playing styles, these two competitors are set to battle for a chance at their first tour-level title of the year. The winner will advance to the final against either Jannik Sinner or Alex de Minaur, promising an exciting conclusion to the tournament.
Match Preview: Medvedev’s Comeback and Tien’s Rise
Daniil Medvedev, a former US Open champion and once the World No. 1, has faced challenges this season, prompting a change in his coaching setup. Struggling with consistency, Medvedev’s best results so far include a runner-up finish at the Terra Wortmann Open and semifinal appearances at the Open 13 and Indian Wells, compiling a 62% success rate in 2025.
On the other hand, 19-year-old Learner Tien has emerged as a formidable presence on the men’s circuit since turning pro in 2023. Known for his giant-killing abilities, Tien shattered records by defeating Lorenzo Musetti in the quarterfinals. As the highest-ranked teenager in the ATP Rankings, he is poised to enter the Top 50 after this tournament, showcasing impressive performances against top players, second only to Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner in terms of Top-10 wins this year.
Head-to-Head Record: A Competitive Encounter
The head-to-head records hint at an electrifying match, with Tien currently leading 1-0 against Medvedev. Their previous encounter at the 2025 Australian Open was a memorable five-set battle, emphasizing the competitive nature of both players.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Australian Open | Round of 64 | Learner Tien | 6-3, 7-6(4), 6-7(8), 1-6, 7-6(7) |
Player Comparison: Medvedev vs Tien
| Category | Daniil Medvedev | Learner Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ranking | 18 | 24 |
| Career W-L Record | 409-176 | 27-26 |
| Year-to-Date W-L Record | 22-20 | 30-19 |
| Career Titles | 0 | 1 |
| Year-to-Date Titles | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 1 | 0 |
Match Prediction and Betting Odds
As the match approaches, experts believe that if Medvedev can maintain his composure and execute his plans effectively, he stands a strong chance to match the head-to-head record against Tien. However, Tien has been showcasing an audacious playing style, utilizing aggressive angles and powerful inside-out forehands that can challenge Medvedev’s mental clarity, especially if he applies early pressure.
According to BetMGM, Medvedev is favored to win the semifinal match, boasting odds of 7/25. This reflects an implied probability of a 79% chance of victory. Here’s a breakdown of the betting odds:
- Daniil Medvedev Win: 7/25
- Learner Tien Win: 14/5
- Total Games: 19/20
- Tien +1.5 (Set Handicap): Evens
- Total Sets: 12/25
- Total Number of Tiebreaks: 13/25
- Tien to Win At Least 1 Set (Yes): Evens
- Total Games in Set-2 >9.5: 17/20
- Medvedev to Win Set-1 By 6-3 or 6-4: 4/1
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